COVID Regulations By Country (and by U.S. State)

I started searching for the above today and recognize it should be “COVID-19 regulations by country” but the shorthand seems to work well enough. What I found was a lot of information that covered similar territories. And as a result, it becomes unclear how to figure out the most up-to-date info. That’s not a criticism of course, but more of a statement of fact with respect to how we have so much information available to us these days — but it’s unclear which is the most up to date on the Internet. Locally-sourced information definitely beats globally-sourced information right now.

Continue reading “COVID Regulations By Country (and by U.S. State)”

COVID-19 was a “White Swan”

Nassim Taleb popularized the term “Black Swan” and has recently pointed out that COVID-19 can’t be categorized as such. He said it is a “White Swan” instead. Why? Because C-19 didn’t happen all of a sudden with a lack of predictability — we knew enough about it so that we could enact countermeasures, but many countries didn’t do so. It wasn’t, as he calls it, “an unforeseen problem” – which is his definition of a black swan.

Looking back to the early thoughts of Taleb in 2009 on the ideas of risk are quite interesting, as grounded in an HBR piece he penned with collaborators entitled, The Six Mistakes Executives Make in Risk Management.

Continue reading “COVID-19 was a “White Swan””